Fantasy Football Write Up Week 10

Week 10 is done and we are down to our final 3 weeks. Instead of the standard weekly reviews, let’s look ahead. Very few games left to make some moves. Figure 1 shows where we stand as of now.

A few takeaways here. First, 4 teams sit at 4/6 staring dangerously close to the cliff if Todd decides to get hot. Figure 2 shows Todd’s remaining schedule. 2 very winnable games against Max and Brent which could allow him to pull himself out from the bottom.

Figure 2: Todd’s Last Stand

Additionally, while Trav may be sitting in 4th place, he may be due for regression. Shown in Figure 3 are total Points For for each team compared to their relative position in the league.

Figure3: Points For by Place

What we see here is that Points For correlates to Position with a R2 value of 0.8. We have one exception to this trend in the Trojans. Both Matt and JJ possess more Points For but 1 and 2 fewer wins respectively. My prediction is that Trav is due for a regression. Shown in Figure 4 are Trav’s Points per week along with a trend line. Very concerning for the Trogans.

Figure 4: Trav’s Points Per Week

Looking back at the overall standings: Ben has clinched his playoff spot while Chad and Cheadle look to be comfortably in; the fight up top will be for 2 coveted BYE week spots. Ben and Cheadle face off 2 more times in the last 3 weeks and this will be a Home and Away series to watch.

A lot up in the air at this point. The pack of 4-6 fuckbois could head towards playoffs or the murky depths of the Miami Dolphins. Bye weeks could have a large impact on this as 4 teams each have Byes in weeks 11 and 12, shown in Figure 5.

Figure 5: Bye Week Teams

Matt will finally be tested by Bye weeks as Green Bay, Minnesota, and Seattle make up a bulk of his recent scoring.

With most teams down to their last $30 of FAAB, will budgets be stretched for that last minute star? I predict a big spending week from those teams on the playoff bubble. Finally, Figure 6 shows our current playoff picture.

Figure 6: Current Playoff Picture

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